With the economic outlook clouded by Omicron and uncertainty on growth dynamics, RBI has decided to continue the stance with an accommodative policy. RBI has been consistent in the approach of prioritizing growth over inflation for the last few quarters. The prospects of economic activity are steadily improving and continued accommodative stance was needed for a sustained recovery in the economy. Inflation undoubtedly has gone high and is unlikely to subdue in the near future. Bank loan growth over the last 6-7 months, till mid Nov was around 7%, which is still lower than the 9% CAGR between 2015 and 2020. RBI might be waiting to see a loan growth pick-up before taking any action on the rates. Also with the subdued private investments and private consumption still low, RBI believes in the need for fine balancing. Liquidity continues to be surplus; the key will be credit off-take, which can be expected in a phased manner. The VRRR will be the key tool for liquidity management in the short term.
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