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India, 14th October, 2022: ABP News-CVoter’s (Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research) second opinion poll predicts a comfortable victory for the BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) in the forthcoming Assembly Elections of Himachal Pradesh. As per the opinion poll data, BJP is expected to win 38-46 seats. However, their vote share is likely to decline from its 2017 levels of 48.8% to 46%. The vote share of INC (Indian National Congress) is expected to reduce from its 2017 levels of 41.7% to 35.2%, and they are expected to win 20-28 seats. AAP (Aam Aadmi Party) is likely to win 0-1 seats and their extensive election campaign is likely to fetch them a 6.3% vote share as opposed to 0% in 2017. Others are expected to win 0-3 seats and receive a vote share of 12.5%.
Methodology:
This poll is based on surveys conducted between 1st October to 14th October and C Voter has made sure that the analysis is properly represented by statistically balancing the data to make it reflective of the local population according to the most recent census results. This survey is based on CATI interviews with respondents who are adults (18+) and represent all segments.
Time frame: 1st October to 14th October
MOE (Margin of Error) and Sample
Himachal Pradesh: 6245 respondents for 68 seats with a MOE of +/- 3% to +/- 5%
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